Fangraphs is releasing Dan Szymborski’s ZiPS projections one team at a time, and recently it was the new look Padres’ turn on the mic.
I’ve developed quite an affinity for projections lately. I like projections because they take the emotion that naturally occurs in things that are awesome like baseball and removes it. Normally emotion is a good thing. It’s what makes baseball fun. But emotion also make it easier to be wrong, which is less fun.
Looking at the amount of available information about a player is overwhelming. There’s a lot there. What’s important? What isn’t? If a player hit well two years ago, but poorly last year, what can we expect this year? What if he got on base well but slugged poorly two years ago, but those were reversed last year. What can we expect then?
Photo by Keith Allison (CC BY-SA 2.0)
Alternate title: Kyle Blanks is the new bobbleheads.
We’ve been talking a lot lately about Kyle Blanks and his fantastic start to the season. A recent chat on Twitter broke out where, like most humans do, the participants attempted to put Blanks’ contributions and potential contributions into context that’s relatable.
Of course, Kyle is only one man in a larger machine of moving parts, so what happens with him also affect other things. In this case, baseball player shaped things. The discussion shouldn’t focus on Yonder Alonso, but on the one player who is a not as good version of lots of players the Padres already have: Jesus Guzman. Read More…
Last week, I shared with you the 2013 ZiPS projections for your/my/our San Diego Padres. Now I’ve taken things a step further and figured out the average / mean projections for your/my/our starting Padres (and there’s a lot of them) based on all the systems listed by Fangraphs: ZiPS, Steamer, Oliver and Bill James. Here they are, without commentary:
In case you weren’t paying attention. And we know a lot of you weren’t.
Here at Padres Public, we’re all about the Padres. And beer. But mostly the Padres. When we’re not drinking beer, that is.
So, here’s a weekly feature to whet your appetites: All of the week’s posts in one convenient location. Enjoy!
And always enjoy responsibly. Don’t read and drive.