We’re at an interesting point in the season for looking at stats. During the first month of the year, everybody pretty much knows that most stats aren’t worth a lot when measuring future expectations. Now that we’re about four months into the season, that feeling seems to have has gone away.
The amount of time it takes for a stat to become stable is a complicated subject. But here are two things I believe:
- Even “advanced” stats like wOBA or wRC+ are not all that useful to help predict the future even at this point in the season.
- Stats that players have more direct control over are the most useful right now.
I was curious to find out if any Padres have changed the approach at the plate this season. And there aren’t many more stats that hitters have control over than what pitches he chooses to swing at. So, lets dive in!