Sometimes things can get a little fuzzy after an afternoon at the pub. Here’s a friendly reminder of what you may have missed while you were drinking.

The Padres (28-41) scored more runs than the Milwaukee Brewers (37-33) yesterday, 7-5 in eleven innings, at Miller Park.

Dinelson Lamet (2-2, 7.50) gave up three runs on four hits and no walks while striking out twelve in six innings. The twelve strikeouts were the most by a Padres rookie pitcher since Oliver Perez‘ thirteen on July 7, 2002. For the second game in a row, all of the Brewers’ runs came from home runs. In the third inning, Orlando Arcia hit an inside-the-park and Eric Thames hit a two-run. Keon Broxton hit a two-run shot in the tenth inning off Brandon Maurer. Phil Maton struck out the final two Brewers’ hitters to record his first Major League save.

Chase Anderson (5-2, 2.92) pitched seven innings, allowing three runs on five hits and no walks with six strikeouts. Yangervis Solarte hit a solo home run in the second inning. In the fourth inning, Franchy Cordero scored on Hunter Renfroe‘s double. Wil Myers hit a solo home run in the sixth inning. Solarte hit a two-run home run in the tenth inning. In the eleventh inning, Cory Spangenberg led off with a home run and Chase d’Arnaud hit another two outs later.

Today’s series finale will pit Luis Perdomo (1-3, 5.16) against Jimmy Nelson (4-3, 3.67) starting at 11:10am PDT.
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Sometimes things can get a little fuzzy after an evening at the pub. Here’s a friendly reminder of what you may have missed while you were drinking.

The Padres (27-41) scored fewer runs than the Milwaukee Brewers (37-32), 6-5 in ten innings, last night in the first of three games at Miller Park.

Junior Guerra (1-1, 2.84) gave up four runs on two hits and four walks with three strikeouts in six innings. In the first inning, Wil Myers hit three-run home run and Hunter Renfroe hit a solo home run. Yangervis Solarte hit a solo home run in the eighth inning.

Miguel Diaz (1-1, 7.36) pitched three and a third innings, allowing four runs on five hits and a walk while striking out five. Travis Shaw hit a solo home run in the second inning. Keon Broxton hit a three-run home run in the fourth inning. Manny Pina tied up the ballgame with a solo home run in the eighth inning. And Eric Thames‘ walk-off solo home run ended the game in the tenth inning.

This afternoon Dinelson Lamet (2-2, 8.50) gets the start against Chase Anderson (5-2, 2.83) starting at 1:10pm PDT.
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what's brewing on the padres farm system

MacKenzie Gore, LHP, Whiteville HS (NC)
First round, third overall

Gore is like the high school version of two recent Padres draft picks, Eric Lauer and Joey Lucchesi. He’s got a different kind of scouting report than your usual coveted prep pitcher. There’s no blow-you-away velocity here—not yet, anyway. But Gore also has attributes rarely associated with a young pitcher. He possesses a deep repertoire of plus (or potential plus) offerings, he’s polished (at least for the HS breed), and he’s a super athlete, important for things like repeating mechanics and, ahem, staying healthy.

There are, of course, plusses and minuses in taking a high school pitcher this high. On the down side, there’s always plenty of risk attached to any pitcher, particularly a high school one. Gore, while dominant at the high school level, hasn’t proven that he can handle a professional workload or a professional hitter. And there’s always the issue of health, and being a good three or four years away, health is always an ominous shadow.

On the plus side, the Padres got a pitcher who hasn’t gone to college, where he’d potentially be abused to win a conference title or a game in Omaha. He’ll get professional instruction right away, where the Padres will be able to carefully handle his development and promotion schedule. Many major-league stars were drafted as high schoolers for a variety of reasons, and that’s part of the appeal here.

In a perfect world, Gore’s the right combination of upside and safety. That’s something of a rare mix, though the profile—any profile—still carries plenty of its own risk. Expect the Padres to take it easy with Gore early, but his advanced style could allow him to move through the lower levels somewhat quickly once he gets rolling. (Sac Bunt Dustin)

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The Padres started this week’s amateur draft with six straight high schoolers, highlighted by 6-foot-3 left hander MacKenzie Gore. Then, just when you thought you had them figured out, they reeled off nine straight college players, taking 25 of them in total from round six onward. Just for good measure, they added in some exciting high schoolers in between, like LSU commit Daniel Cabrera.

Are they going to be able to sign all of their picks inside the first 10 rounds? Is there going to be money left for someone like Cabrera or another late-round high schooler? These are questions you might have. We don’t have the answers, but let’s take a crack at it.

Player Status Commitment Pick $ BA Rank Slot Bonus Proj. Bonus
MacKenzie Gore HS East Carolina 3 4 $6,668,100 $6,200,000
Luis Campusano-Bracero HS South Carolina 39 42 $1,760,700 $1,600,000
Blake Hunt HS Pepperdine 69 123 $858,600 $600,000
Mason House HS Oklahoma State 78 84 $732,200 $900,000
Sam Keating HS Clemson 108 116 $497,000 $800,000
Jonny Homza HS Hawaii 138 Unranked $371,200 $200,000
Aaron Leasher College Jr. N/A 168 Unranked $278,500 $100,000
Nick Margevicius College Jr. N/A 198 234 $217,000 $165,000
Olivier Basabe College Jr. N/A 228 Unranked $172,000 $80,000
Alex Cunningham College Sen. N/A 258 Unranked $147,000 $25,000
Dominic Taccolini College Sen. N/A 288 Unranked $136,600 $25,000

The last two columns are the slot value for that pick and my projected signing bonus, based on a super-secret formula (it’s just a guess, really).

Gore has Scott Boras in his corner, but the commitment to East Carolina probably never scared anyone. A lot of early picks sign for something under slot, just because the slots are so high. A player might not mind going under slot when he’s still getting a check for $5 or $6 million. Not saying Gore shouldn’t get full slot for being a kick-ass pitcher and bypassing three years of college, but my guess is that he settles for something closer to $6 million.

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Sometimes things can get a little fuzzy after an afternoon at the pub. Here’s a friendly reminder of what you may have missed while you were drinking.

The Padres (27-40) scored more runs than the Cincinnati Reds (29-36) in yesterday’s series finale at Petco Park, 4-2.

Jhoulys Chacin (6-5, 5.10) allowed two runs on five hits and a walk in seven inning while striking out four. Jose Peraza led off the game with a home run in the first inning. Joey Votto hit a solo home run in the fourth inning.

Amir Garrett (3-5, 6.91) pitched six innings, giving up two runs on seven hits and two walks with eight strikeouts. Hunter Renfroe hit a monstrous two-run home run in the sixth inning. In the seventh inning, Franchy Cordero‘s single scored Matt Szczur and Jose Pirela scored on Renfroe’s groundout.

The Padres are off today as they travel to Miller Park to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (34-32) for three game starting tomorrow at 5:10pm PDT. Miguel Diaz (1-1, 6.92) starts Friday’s game against Junior Guerra (1-1, 2.45).
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Sometimes things can get a little fuzzy after an evening at the pub. Here’s a friendly reminder of what you may have missed while you were drinking.

The Padres (26-40) scored more runs than the Cincinnati Reds (29-35), 6-2, last night at Petco Park.

Clayton Richard (5-7, 4.30) nearly pitched his second complete game of 2017, going eight and two-thirds innings and allowing two runs on eight hits and two walks with six strikeouts. Tucker Barnhart‘s double scored Eugenio Suarez and Scott Schebler in the ninth inning. Phil Maton faced one batter in relief and gave up a hit. Brandon Maurer recorded his eleventh save by retiring Scooter Gennett on a groundout.

Scott Feldman (5-5, 4.29) gave up four runs on eight hits and two walks while striking out six in five innings. In the first inning, Wil Myers singled to drive in Jose Pirela and Franchy Cordero scored on Yangervis Solarte‘s single. Cordero hit two solo home runs, in the third innings and in the seventh inning. Cory Spangenberg‘s RBI single in the fifth inning drove in Solarte. Pirela singled in the eighth inning to score Austin Hedges.

Jhoulys Chacin (5-5, 5.35) gets the start in this afternoon’s series finale against Amir Garrett (3-5, 7.40) starting at 12:40pm PDT.
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Hey, what’s going on here?

Counting his double last night, and the 26 extra-base hits he had in 48 games at Triple-A El Paso, Jose Pirela already has 32 extra-base hits this year in just 231 plate appearances. Back in 2014, between Triple-A and the majors, he accumulated only 45 extra-base hits in 606 plate appearances. Pirela slashed .331/.387/.635 this year while at El Paso, and he’s currently running a 280 wRC+ in limited big-league PAs.

Funny thing: Pirela never hit for consistent power in the minors. His highest ISO at a single stop was .155, and that came in half a season at Double-A way back in 2012. His career minor-league slash line, counting this year’s outburst, stands at a pedestrian .278/.342/.405. Not counting this year, he had never hit more than 10 home runs in a season.

So, really, what is going on here? Let’s run through some potential scenarios.

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Sometimes things can get a little fuzzy after an evening at the pub. Here’s a friendly reminder of what you may have missed while you were drinking.

The Padres (25-40) scored more runs than the Cincinnati Reds (29-34) last night, 9-3, in the first of three games at Petco Park.

Luis Perdomo (1-3, 5.16) finally recorded his first win of 2017, giving up three runs on seven hits and two walks with four strikeouts in six and two-thirds innings. Scott Schebler hit an two-run single in the first inning. Scooter Gennett‘s RBI single in the seventh inning drove in Schebler for the Reds’ third and final run.

Bronson Arroyo (3-5, 7.01) pitched four and two-thirds innings, surrendering nine runs on thirteen hits and no walks while striking out two. Yangervis Solarte drove in Jose Pirela with a single in the first inning. In the second inning, the Padres beat up on Arroyo with Austin Hedges‘ two-run double, an RBI single by Pirela, a two-run home run by Franchy Cordero (his first in the Major Leagues), and a Solarte home run. Wil Myers hit an RBI single in the fourth inning. In the fifth inning, Hedges singled but was thrown out trying to take second and Cory Spangenberg scored in the process.

Tonight, Clayton Richard (4-7, 4.54) takes the mound against Scott Feldman (5-4, 4.09) with first pitch set for 7:10pm PDT.
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Last week, Nathan did a great job covering the potential candidates for the Padres third overall pick, including commentary on all five of the top consensus prospects, Hunter Greene, Kyle Wright, Brendan McKay, MacKenzie Gore, and Royce Lewis.

All of them sound pretty good to me, but given who’s likely to be there, I think I’m leaning toward Gore or Lewis. Anyway, if you’ve read Nathan’s post or anything from sites like Baseball America, then you have a pretty good handle on all of the obvious candidates. What’s going to happen in the rest of the Padres draft, though? Well, shoot, who knows, but here are some things to look for.

The First Pick Shocker

Actually, before we hit the rest of the draft, let’s consider the improbable: what if the Padres go outside that conventional top five with their first pick at no. 3? There’s nothing to indicate that it will happen, and usually teams at the top of the draft want top-of-the-draft talent. But the Padres have zagged before a time or two, so there’s always a non-zero chance. It’d likely be a maneuver to save some money early to go over slot at pick no. 39 or later on, but there’s also the possibility the Padres just like somebody better than the conventional names, depending on who’s on the board. Some potential candidates here are outfielder Heliot Ramos (more on him later), high school righty Shane Baz, or fast-rising junior college righty Nate Pearson.

Alright, here are some overall trends (and some specific players) to look for beyond the first pick.

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Sometimes things can get a little fuzzy after an afternoon at the pub. Here’s a friendly reminder of what you may have missed while you were drinking.

The Padres (24-40) scored fewer runs than the Kansas City Royals (28-34), 8-3, yesterday at Petco Park.

Dinelson Lamet (2-2, 8.50) gave up seven runs on six hits and a walk while striking out six in five innings. Mike Moustakas hit two home runs: a two-run shot in the first and a leadoff solo shot in the ninth inning. Alex Gordon hit a solo home run in the fourth inning. Eric Hosmer hit a two-run home run in the fifth inning. On the plus side, Phil Maton made his Major League debut, going 1-2-3 in the eighth inning while ringing up Lorenzo Cain for his first career strikeout.

Jake Junis (2-0, 4.67) surrendered three runs on six hits and a walk with six strikeouts in seven innings. All three Padres’ runs came via solo home runs. Cory Spangenberg hit one in the fourth inning and led off the seventh inning with another. Jose Pirela led off the eighth inning with the third.

The Cincinnati Reds (29-33) come to Petco Park for three games starting tonight at 7:10pm PDT. Luis Perdomo (0-3, 5.30) starts the first game tonight against Bronson Arroyo (3-4, 6.25).
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