With ten more games in the books for the Padres the time has come to revisit the poll Avenging Jack Murphy put forth nearly two months ago. The predictions for the Padres over the remaining 50 games were not very promising then and when the team went 2-8 through games 113-122. The Padres turned things around during their next 10 contests and managed to go 5-5 during games 123-132. Then the Friars went 6-4 over games 133-142.
Over the last 10 games, the Padres matched that 6-4 record with the help of a 4-game winning streak that was stopped yesterday by the Pirates.
Using advanced math the Padres are 19-21 over the last 40 games played.
How in the Hell did the Padres pull that off?
With ten more games in the books for our San Diego Padres the time has come to revisit the poll we began over one month ago. The predictions for the Padres over the remaining 50 games were not very promising then and when the team went 2-8 through games 113-122 suspicions about a disastrous finish seemed to be confirmed. Or were they?
The Padres turned things around during their next 10 contests and managed to go 5-5 during games 123-132.
As improbable as that stretch seemed with the team’s catalyst (Everth Cabrera) and best power hitter (Carlos Quentin) out of the line-up the Padres continued their run of success, finishing their most recent run of 10 games with a record of 6-4.
So over the last 30 games played the Padres are 13-17. It looks like a dismal run but it certainly could have been far worse considering how the Padres began back on August 6th.
So how are they doing it?
Back on August 7th Avenging Jack Murphy offered up a poll to see how fans thought the Padres would perform over the remaining 50 games. Of those who voted nearly 80% felt that the Padres would finish below .500 (24 wins or fewer).
He then followed up 10 games later with a new poll, reflecting the Padres horrible 2-8 record over that period. Now 88% said the Padres would finish below .500.
Since then the Padres have played another 10 games, compiling a record of 5-5. Using advanced math, over the next 30 games the Padres would finish with a record of 18-32* in the final 50 games of this season.
*It’s actually 17.5 wins, but I’m giving the Padres that extra half win. Because I’m an optimist, dammit! Somebody might want to double check my math on that anyway. The first time I came up with 33 wins. Despite my wishful thinking, there’s no way that could be right. And I stayed up late to finish this after that game last night.
Back on August 7th I offered up a poll to see how fans thought the Padres would perform over the remaining 50 games. Of those who voted nearly 80% felt that the Padres would finish below .500 (24 wins or fewer).
Since then the Padres have played 10 games, compiling a record of 2-8. Extrapolated over the next 40 games the Padres would finish with a record of 10-40. Uh . . . yikes! But baseball doesn’t work that way does it? Let’s examine the particulars before we ask people to begin voting again.
When yesterday’s game against the Orioles began the Padres had a very nice, clean, and even 50 games remaining on their schedule. Such symmetry, coupled with the simultaneous loss of shortstop and lead-off man Everth Cabrera, prompted me to ask the following question:
I know that’s a horribly dire prediction but let’s examine some simple truths . . .
Despite what you may think if you follow me on Twitter (or have read this prior post), I don’t hate Dick Enberg. The man is a broadcasting legend. It’s just that I believe play-by-play is no longer his strength.
I think that if the Padres and Fox Sports San Diego want to keep Enberg around, he may be more suited to host the pre- and postgame shows.
If they do decide to take Enberg off of play-by-play duties next season (or sooner), who would/should replace him?