When I wrote about the Trevor Cahill trade on Monday night, I didn’t spend too much time on the players the Padres gave up, including The Great Cahill. I did figure, however, that the thinking on their relative value was somewhat of a forgone conclusion. Turns out, reasonable people disagree with me. In the spirit of scraping for things to write about, and discussing the overarching topic of trade value heading into the deadline, I figured I’d collect some thoughts on the issue here.

So—drumroll please—here’s my ranking, in terms of perceived trade value, of the three players the Padres sent to Kansas City.

1. Trevor Cahill

When teams are looking to acquire someone at the trade deadline, they’re often looking for some type of impact player. Cahill is maybe not an impact player, but he’s the closest thing to one out of the three players San Diego gave away. I totally get that he’s a 29-year-old vet with a mostly uninspiring track record. Over the last four or five years, he’s seemingly had more injuries than innings pitched, and prior to this year he had been almost exclusively a reliever since 2014.

Here’s the thing, though: He’s pitching like an impact player. By Baseball Prospectus’s catch-all pitching metric, DRA, Cahill’s 2.64 mark is eighth in all of baseball among starters with 10 innings or more. Eighth. By cFIP, BP’s other ERA estimator, he falls all the way down to ninth overall. If you like plain old strikeout percentage, Cahill’s 27.4 percent ranks 23rd out of 224 starters who’ve reached the 10-inning threshold, in between pitchers like Jacob deGrom, Zack Greinke, and Lance McCullers. There are random 60-inning samples where a pitcher gets lucky on balls in play, or whatever, and posts an undeserving 2-something ERA. Then there are random 60-inning samples where a pitcher kicks ass. This is the latter.

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Earlier today the Padres traded Trevor Cahill, Brandon Maurer, and Ryan Buchter to the Kansas City Royals for Esteury Ruiz, Matt Strahm, and Travis Wood.

Woo-hoo, a trade!

Trades are hard to write about these days. The more credit we’ve given to teams for getting smarter and smarter, the easier it is to look at a deal and nod along: “yup, yup, makes sense. yup.” It’s really no different with this deal. The Padres had obvious trade candidates like Cahill, picked up for pennies and reconfigured into a legitimate starter, Maurer, a still-pretty-young reliever who’s consistently shown better peripherals and stuff than surface stats, and Buchter, something of a throw-in who offers some value as an always coveted lefty with good strikeout numbers, so they traded them. In return the Padres got back a pair of younger, interesting players and in the process made the major-league team worse for an anticipated, and choreographed, second-half swoon.

The Padres got back three players. One of them, Travis Wood, is unlike the others. He’s a 30-year-old veteran having an absolutely miserable year. So far in 41 2/3 innings out of the Royals ‘pen, Wood’s posted a gaudy 8.49 DRA, seventh-worst in all of baseball (min. 20 innings.). In fact, among pitchers with at least half their innings in relief, Wood is dead last in the majors. His cFIP, 112, offers some hope for non-disastrous performance going forward, but he’s fallen a long way since masquerading as a league-average starter a few years back with the Cubs.

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Sometimes things can get a little fuzzy after an evening at the pub. Here’s a friendly reminder of what you may have missed while you were drinking.

The Padres (42-54) scored more runs than the San Francisco Giants (37-61) last night at AT&T Park, 12-9 in 11 innings.

Trevor Cahill (4-3, 3.69) allowed six runs (five earned) in three and two-thirds innings on seven hits and four walks with a strikeout. Denard Span scored on a Brandon Belt single, Brandon Crawford‘s bases-loaded single scored Belt and Buster Posey, and Hunter Pence drove in Crawford in the first inning. Belt scored again in the third inning on a single by Pence. Cahill threw a wild pitch to Posey in the fourth inning that scored Gorkys Hernandez. In the ninth inning, Brandon Maurer gave up a single to Crawford that drove in Posey and a two-run home run to Conor Gillaspie to tie the game at nine.

Jeff Samardzija (4-11, 5.05) gave up five runs on eight hits and a walk in four and a third innings with three strikeouts. Cahill ground out and Franchy Cordero scored in the third inning. Hector Sanchez hit a lead-off home run in the fourth inning. In the fifth inning, Matt Szczur scored on a Jose Pirela single, Sanchez doubled to drive in Carlos Asuaje, and Wil Myers scored on Cory Spangenberg‘s ground out. Asuaje singled in the sixth inning to drive in Craig Stammen. Myers hit a lead-off home run in the seventh inning. Pirela tripled to drive in Szczur and Pirela scored on an Asuaje single in the eighth inning. Hunter Renfroe scored scored on a Szczur single, a Pirela single drove in Erick Aybar, and Szczur scored the go-ahead run on Asuaje’s single in the eleventh inning.

Luis Perdomo (4-5, 4.94) starts this afternoon’s third game against Matt Moore (3-10, 5.81) beginning at 1:05pm PDT.
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On Monday I wrote about Phil Maton, and how he’s using his high-spin fastball up in the zone, mostly to solid early success. In the process I found some interesting factoids on a few other Padres relievers.

Brad Hand—Speaking of spin rate, Hand actually has a higher four-seam fastball spin rate than Maton this season at 2,532 rpm, 10th-best in the league. He doesn’t have the same success as Maton with the heater, however, as he’s given up a .342 wOBA against so far this season on four-seamers. Part of those moderate struggles could be attributable to Hand’s release point. His release point extension is just south of five feet, the second-lowest figure in the league among pitchers with at least 100 fastballs thrown this year, behind only Jharel Cotton. That brings Hand’s perceived velocity from 93 mph down to 90.59 mph, which could explain part of the reason why hitters have found some success.

Of course, Hand’s been tremendous overall this season, in part because he’s thrown his filthy slider nearly 45 percent of the time. Hand gets a whiff on 20 percent of his sliders, twice the rate of his four-seamer. He’s also allowed a paltry 0.058 opponents ISO on the slider. With the most innings pitched among relievers since the start of last season, and two and a half years of team control left, Hand is expected to command a solid return at (or before) the oncoming trade deadline.

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Sometimes things can get a little fuzzy after an afternoon at the pub. Here’s a friendly reminder of what you may have missed while you were drinking.

The Padres (38-49) scored more runs than the Philadelphia Phillies (28-58), 2-1, yesterday at Citizens Bank Park.

Jhoulys Chacin (8-7, 4.32) allowed one run on three hits and two walk while striking out six in six and a third innings. Maikel Franco hit a solo home run in the fifth inning. Kirby Yates, Ryan Buchter, and Brandon Maurer allowed only one hit and one walk in the final two and two-thirds innings.

Aaron Nola (6-6, 3.59) gave up two runs in eight innings on four hits and two walks with nine strikeouts. Carlos Asuaje tripled in the seventh inning to drive in Hunter Renfroe and Austin Hedges‘ single scored Asuaje.

The Padres try for the sweep as Trevor Cahill (3-2, 2.96) starts today’s series finale against Jerad Eickhoff (0-7, 4.93) starting at 10:35am PDT.
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Sometimes things can get a little fuzzy after an Independence Day at the pub. Here’s a friendly reminder of what you may have missed while you were drinking.

The Padres (35-48) scored more runs than the Cleveland Indians (44-38) last night at Progressive Field, 1-0, in the first of three games.

Trevor Cahill (3-2, 2.96) returned from the disabled list and shutout the Indians for four and a third innings on four hits and two walks with four strikeouts. Jose Torres, Kirby Yates, Ryan Buchter, Brad Hand, and Brandon Maurer combined to allow just one hit and one walk over the last four and two-thirds innings of the shutout.

Corey Kluber (7-3, 2.85) gave up one run on five hits and a walk with ten strikeouts over eight innings. Cory Spangenberg beat out a double play attempt, driving in Hector Sanchez in the fifth inning. Wil Myers struck out four times in four at-bats and Hunter Renfroe struck out three times in four at-bats.

Luis Perdomo (3-4, 4.71) starts this evening’s second game against Trevor Bauer (7-6, 5.24) beginning at 4:10pm PDT.
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Sometimes things can get a little fuzzy after a Sunday afternoon at the pub. Here’s a friendly reminder of what you may have missed while you were drinking.

The Padres (31-45) scored fewer runs than the Detroit Tigers (33-42) in their three game series finale yesterday at Petco Park, 7-5.

Clayton Richard (5-7, 4.42) gave up five runs on nine hits and two walks in five and a third innings with three strikeouts. Mikie Mahtook drove in Justin Upton with a triple, James McCann‘s double score Mahtook, and McCann scored on a Jose Iglesias single, all in the fourth inning. In the sixth inning, Nicholas Castellanos‘ two-run home run tied the game at five. In the ninth inning, Mahtook singled off Brandon Maurer to drive in Ian Kinsler and Upton before being tagged trying to take second base for the third out.

Jordan Zimmermann (5-5, 5.53) allowed five runs on six hits and three walks while striking out five in four innings. Wil Myers hit a solo home run in the first inning. In the second inning, Erick Aybar led off with a home run and Matt Szczur tripled to drive in Hunter Renfroe. Richard’s squeeze bunt in the fourth inning scored Aybar and Renfroe scored on Jose Pirelas‘ ground-rule double.

The Padres have the day off today. The Atlanta Braves (36-39) come to Petco Park for three games beginning Tuesday at 7:10pm PDT. Jhoulys Chacin (6-6, 4.95) gets the first start against Sean Newcomb (0-2, 1.96).
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Sometimes things can get a little fuzzy after an afternoon at the pub. Here’s a friendly reminder of what you may have missed while you were drinking.

The Padres (28-41) scored more runs than the Milwaukee Brewers (37-33) yesterday, 7-5 in eleven innings, at Miller Park.

Dinelson Lamet (2-2, 7.50) gave up three runs on four hits and no walks while striking out twelve in six innings. The twelve strikeouts were the most by a Padres rookie pitcher since Oliver Perez‘ thirteen on July 7, 2002. For the second game in a row, all of the Brewers’ runs came from home runs. In the third inning, Orlando Arcia hit an inside-the-park and Eric Thames hit a two-run. Keon Broxton hit a two-run shot in the tenth inning off Brandon Maurer. Phil Maton struck out the final two Brewers’ hitters to record his first Major League save.

Chase Anderson (5-2, 2.92) pitched seven innings, allowing three runs on five hits and no walks with six strikeouts. Yangervis Solarte hit a solo home run in the second inning. In the fourth inning, Franchy Cordero scored on Hunter Renfroe‘s double. Wil Myers hit a solo home run in the sixth inning. Solarte hit a two-run home run in the tenth inning. In the eleventh inning, Cory Spangenberg led off with a home run and Chase d’Arnaud hit another two outs later.

Today’s series finale will pit Luis Perdomo (1-3, 5.16) against Jimmy Nelson (4-3, 3.67) starting at 11:10am PDT.
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Sometimes things can get a little fuzzy after an evening at the pub. Here’s a friendly reminder of what you may have missed while you were drinking.

The Padres (26-40) scored more runs than the Cincinnati Reds (29-35), 6-2, last night at Petco Park.

Clayton Richard (5-7, 4.30) nearly pitched his second complete game of 2017, going eight and two-thirds innings and allowing two runs on eight hits and two walks with six strikeouts. Tucker Barnhart‘s double scored Eugenio Suarez and Scott Schebler in the ninth inning. Phil Maton faced one batter in relief and gave up a hit. Brandon Maurer recorded his eleventh save by retiring Scooter Gennett on a groundout.

Scott Feldman (5-5, 4.29) gave up four runs on eight hits and two walks while striking out six in five innings. In the first inning, Wil Myers singled to drive in Jose Pirela and Franchy Cordero scored on Yangervis Solarte‘s single. Cordero hit two solo home runs, in the third innings and in the seventh inning. Cory Spangenberg‘s RBI single in the fifth inning drove in Solarte. Pirela singled in the eighth inning to score Austin Hedges.

Jhoulys Chacin (5-5, 5.35) gets the start in this afternoon’s series finale against Amir Garrett (3-5, 7.40) starting at 12:40pm PDT.
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Sometimes things can get a little fuzzy after an afternoon at the pub. Here’s a friendly reminder of what you may have missed while you were drinking.

The Padres (23-38) scored fewer runs than the Arizona Diamondbacks (37-25) yesterday at Chase Field, 15-3, getting swept by the Diamondbacks in their three game series.

Clayton Richard (4-7, 4.54) gave up four runs on six hits and a walk with five strikeouts in five innings. The Padres bullpen was the real loser, as Kevin Quackenbush, Kirby Yates, and Brandon Maurer combined to give up eleven runs in two innings (Maurer didn’t record an out). Read the box score below to get the details because I just don’t have the strength. Erick Aybar ended up pitching (again) and got three outs in the eighth inning.

Patrick Corbin (5-6, 5.38) pitched five and two-thirds innings, surrendering three runs on eight hits and three walks while striking out eight. In the first inning, Austin Hedges‘ bases loaded single scored Yangervis Solarte and Wil Myers. Hunter Renfroe hit an RBI double in the third, driving in Myers.

The Padres come back to Petco Park for three interleague games against the Kansas City Royals (26-32) starting tonight at 7:10pm PDT. Jhoulys Chacin (4-5, 5.65) gets the start tonight versus Eric Skoglund (1-1, 4.32).
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