Hey, another twitter mailbag. Thank you twitter.

In this type of scenario, I’m inclined to just say, hey, Wil Myers is what the overall numbers say he is. So far, in his career, Myers has a 110 wRC+. This year it’s 108. In 2015 and 2016 it was 115. So, he’s like a 110-115 wRC+ guy going forward, which is fine but not great for a first baseman.

However, with Myers, I still hold out some hope for more. And let’s be honest, we all want to be optimists at heart, drinking our water from glasses that are always half full.

Optimist point No. 1: Myers is just 26 years old. A solid player suddenly reaching new heights in his late 20s is far from unheard of; just of the top of my head, there are guys like Jose Bautista and Eric Thames that jump off the page. Bautista, for example, went from a below average hitter to one of the best hitters in the America League for a few years, right at age 29. It’d be silly to count on that from Myers, or anybody, but there’s always a chance things just suddenly click.

Optimist point No. 2: I still think it’d be worth looking into revamping his swing in the offseason. If it was working, fine, go with it. But there’s no good reason his swing has to look like that, especially when he’s hitting at a level below what both he and the Padres probably expect. It might be somewhat risky, but it’s possible that even just a swing tweak could set Myers on the right path.

Short answer: He’s probably something like what we’ve seen, but breakout potential exists. I’ll say he’s able to jump his wRC+ into the 120s or 130s, at least, for a few years here.

Read More…

Yesterday I wrote about the perceived trade value of three pitchers the Padres have already traded. Let’s just say it didn’t lock up the Padres Public servers. So, today, I thought I’d take a more conventional approach and discuss the relative trade value of the players still on the Padres roster.

I put everybody into made-up tiers.

Tier 1 is for primo guys. Andrew Miller‘s a tier 1 guy. Brad Hand isn’t, at least not unless he grows out the beard, steals some of Miller’s mojo, and hires Jeff Sullivan as his agent. In fact, the Padres don’t have any tier 1 players. (By the way, I didn’t consider young, unlikely-to-be-traded players like Manuel Margot in this exercise.)

Tier 2 is for good, solid trade chips. These are players that a bunch of teams are genuinely interested in, even if they lack some tier 1 mojo.

Tier 3 is for guys who aren’t good enough for tier 2. There’s some trade value here, but not a whole lot of it.

Tier 4 is for players who have little (or no) trade value.

Here we go.

Read More…

What’s up with Brad Hand?

Recently, both the Nationals and Yankees acquired multiple relievers in single trades, with Washington picking up Sean Doolittle and Ryan Madson and New York getting David Robertson and Tommy Kahnle (along with third baseman Todd Frazier). Among those two teams, it wouldn’t be surprising to see Washington look for more help. They lost Blake Treinen in the deal, who has a 5.59 ERA on the season but better peripherals and even better stuff. Plus, Madson’s old and Doolittle’s an injury risk, which, combined with the loss of Treinen, makes the Nationals bullpen still relatively thin given their championship aspirations.

Meanwhile, Hand’s in San Diego, but there are still 12 days until the deadline. Here are some disjointed thoughts on possibly the best reliever left on the market.

How much does the 2.5 years of control add to Hand’s trade value?

Hand has a favorable contract, signed for $1.375 million this year and still arbitration-eligible through 2019. Here’s the thing with relievers, though: they’re relievers. You rarely hear about major-league teams building around a relief pitcher, especially if the player isn’t Craig Kimbrel or Andrew Miller or Kenley Jansen. Relievers are too volatile to really project two or three years down the road. I’d guess that a team looking to acquire Hand would view his arb-eligible 2018 season as a legit bonus. An additional year of control in 2019, though, would hardly register much extra value. Hand will be 29 then, more expensive, and carrying a heavy workload on his left arm.

Read More…

Longtime baseball and Padres writer Dustin Palmateer joins Chris for some in-depth Padres chat. They discuss whether the Padres are meeting their goals for the 2017 season, what the trade deadline might bring, especially regarding Padre reliever Brad Hand, the Padres signings during the most recent July 2 international signing deadline, and more.

Follow Dustin on Twitter and check out his writing with The Sacrifice Bunt right here at Padres Public!

If you have any questions or comments, leave them down below or e-mail us.

Read More…

On Monday I wrote about Phil Maton, and how he’s using his high-spin fastball up in the zone, mostly to solid early success. In the process I found some interesting factoids on a few other Padres relievers.

Brad Hand—Speaking of spin rate, Hand actually has a higher four-seam fastball spin rate than Maton this season at 2,532 rpm, 10th-best in the league. He doesn’t have the same success as Maton with the heater, however, as he’s given up a .342 wOBA against so far this season on four-seamers. Part of those moderate struggles could be attributable to Hand’s release point. His release point extension is just south of five feet, the second-lowest figure in the league among pitchers with at least 100 fastballs thrown this year, behind only Jharel Cotton. That brings Hand’s perceived velocity from 93 mph down to 90.59 mph, which could explain part of the reason why hitters have found some success.

Of course, Hand’s been tremendous overall this season, in part because he’s thrown his filthy slider nearly 45 percent of the time. Hand gets a whiff on 20 percent of his sliders, twice the rate of his four-seamer. He’s also allowed a paltry 0.058 opponents ISO on the slider. With the most innings pitched among relievers since the start of last season, and two and a half years of team control left, Hand is expected to command a solid return at (or before) the oncoming trade deadline.

Read More…

Sometimes things can get a little fuzzy after an Independence Day at the pub. Here’s a friendly reminder of what you may have missed while you were drinking.

The Padres (35-48) scored more runs than the Cleveland Indians (44-38) last night at Progressive Field, 1-0, in the first of three games.

Trevor Cahill (3-2, 2.96) returned from the disabled list and shutout the Indians for four and a third innings on four hits and two walks with four strikeouts. Jose Torres, Kirby Yates, Ryan Buchter, Brad Hand, and Brandon Maurer combined to allow just one hit and one walk over the last four and two-thirds innings of the shutout.

Corey Kluber (7-3, 2.85) gave up one run on five hits and a walk with ten strikeouts over eight innings. Cory Spangenberg beat out a double play attempt, driving in Hector Sanchez in the fifth inning. Wil Myers struck out four times in four at-bats and Hunter Renfroe struck out three times in four at-bats.

Luis Perdomo (3-4, 4.71) starts this evening’s second game against Trevor Bauer (7-6, 5.24) beginning at 4:10pm PDT.
Read More…

Sometimes things can get a little fuzzy after an afternoon at the pub. Here’s a friendly reminder of what you may have missed while you were drinking.

The Padres (24-39) scored fewer runs than the Kansas City Royals (27-34) at Petco Park yesterday, 12-6.

Miguel Diaz (1-1, 6.92) started his first game in the Major Leagues and allowed no runs on one hit and three walks with one strikeout in two innings. Craig Stammen, Jose Torres, and Kirby Yates combined to allow three runs in relief. Then Brad Hand and Jose Valdez came into pitch and allowed nine runs (eight earned) in one and two-thirds innings, with the final blow coming on a grand slam home run by Lorenzo Cain in the eighth inning.

Ian Kennedy (0-6, 5.40) pitched six innings, giving up four runs on six hits and two walks while striking out five. Jose Pirela led off the first inning with a solo home run. In the fifth inning, Pirela hit a two-run double and Yangervis Solarte hit a run scoring single. Solarte singled again in the seventh inning to drive in Pirela. Erick Aybar hit an RBI single in the eighth inning.

This afternoon’s series finale will have Dinelson Lamet (2-1, 6.92) going up against Jake Junis (1-0, 5.23) starting at 1:40pm PDT.
Read More…

Brad Hand, Padres lefty reliever: he’s pretty good.

Somehow the Padres got him off waivers in April of 2016, from Miami. Then he started throwing a bunch of breaking balls and turned a lost career around. So far this year both his strikeout percentage (31.8 percent) and K%-BB% (22.8 percent) are at career highs, just a few ticks up over last year’s numbers.

Before we start this silly project, let’s answer a not-so-simple question: what’s he worth?

It’s tough, of course, because who knows. The answer to that question is always whatever anyone’s willing to pay, basically. Hand’s not quite into Aroldis Chapman territory, or even particularly close, so he’s not going to bring back a package that includes a legit top 10 prospect or anything. But he’s good. He’s a shutdown lefty with good peripherals, good surface stats, durability, and a newfound ability to get right handers out. Plus he’s affordable, with two years left on his contract after this season. Everyone wants a reliable lefty in the bullpen, and Hand’s good enough to be closer material in the right situation.

Read More…

Sometimes things can get a little fuzzy after an afternoon at the pub. Here’s a friendly reminder of what you may have missed while you were drinking.

The Padres (22-33) scored more runs than the Chicago Cubs (25-27), 2-1, yesterday at Petco Park, completing the three-game series sweep.

Luis Perdomo (0-2, 5.01) pitched seven innings, allowing one run on three hits and two walks while striking out four. In the second inning, Javier Baez singled to score Anthony Rizzo and Willson Contreras was thrown out trying to take third base for the third out. Winning pitcher Brad Hand and Brandon Maurer pitched two perfect innings of relief.

Jake Arrieta (5-4, 4.60) allowed one run on five hits and two walks with seven strikeouts in six innings pitched. Ryan Schimpf hit a solo home run in the second inning. In the eighth inning, Yangervis Solarte‘s ground ball drove in Franchy Cordero, who had tripled, with the go-ahead run.

The Padres have the day off today. The Colorado Rockies (33-21) come to Petco Park for three games starting tomorrow at 7:10pm PDT. Clayton Richard (3-6, 4.33) gets the start in Friday’s game against German Marquez (4-2, 3.76).

Read More…

Sometimes things can get a little fuzzy after a Sunday afternoon at the pub. Here’s a friendly reminder of what you may have missed while you were drinking.

The Padres (19-33) scored more runs than the Washington Nationals (30-19), 5-3, yesterday in the finale of three games at Nationals Park.

Jhoulys Chacin (4-4, 5.77) gave up three runs on eight hits and two walks with six strikeouts in four and a third innings. In the first inning, Trea Turner scored on Adam Lind‘s bases loaded groundout. Wilmer Difo scored on Brian Goodwin‘s single in the second inning. Lind hit an RBI double in the fifth inning. Kirby Yates, Ryan Buchter, Brad Hand, and Brandon Maurer no-hit the Nationals over the last four and two-thirds innings, with Buchter allowing two walks in his one inning of work.

Joe Ross (2-1, 6.18) surrendered five runs on twelve hits and a walk with four strikeouts in four innings pitched. Ryan Schimpf hit a two-run home run in the first inning. Chacin’s RBI single in the second inning drove in Chase d’Arnaud. d’Arnaud hit a two-RBI single in the fifth inning to drive in Hunter Renfroe and Franchy Cordero.

The Padres return to San Diego for three games against the Chicago Cubs (25-23) starting this afternoon. Jarred Cosart (0-1, 4.50) gets the Memorial Day start at 1:40pm PDT against Kyle Hendricks (4-2, 3.25) at Petco Park.

Read More…