When we were talking about the Padres offensive woes, I noted that the Padres hit more groundballs than any team in baseball. This seems weird to me.
Hitting coach Phil Plantier had an extreme uppercut swing that generated few grounders. Not that every hitter will emulate his coach, but it’s counterintuitive to expect this from Plantier’s charges.
Worse, it’s counterproductive. Here are results for different types of batted balls in 2013:
Including plate appearances may seem gratuitous, but it’s important to see that this is a large sample. It’s also important to see that, with a few exceptions, you don’t want to be hitting a lot of grounders. This isn’t a one-year effect:
*Through games of June 11.
Line drives are awesome, fly balls are decent (some of them leave the yard), grounders stink. Which brings me to my next point: Through June 11, the Padres are the only MLB team to hit more grounders than fly balls (1.06 GB/FB); they are tied with the Kansas City Royals for lowest line-drive percentage (21%).
In recent years, the Padres have made a habit of hitting too many grounders, but this season they’re outdoing themselves:
It wasn’t always this way:
|2006||0.74||2||Dave Magadan, Merv Rettenmund|
|2007||0.68||1||Merv Rettenmund, Wally Joyner|
|2009||0.78||12||Jim Lefebvre, Randy Ready|
Obviously the players were different, but there has been a radical shift in hitting strategy. Did guys get it in their head that fly balls die at Petco Park and stop trying to hit the ball in the air? I have no idea, but the results aren’t pretty.
On this year’s team, the only hitter doing any damage on groundballs is Cameron Maybin. His slash line is a robust .385/.385/.481. That’s nice, but it’s also probably a fluke, as his career line on grounders is .279/.279/.310.
On the flip side, and to nobody’s surprise, Yonder Alonso should never hit the ball on the ground. Among the 171 players with at least 200 total plate appearances so far in 2014, only José Abreu (217), Nick Swisher (250), and Brandon Hicks (257) have a lower OPS on groundballs than Alonso (263). They all have the good sense to not hit grounders as often as he does.
* * *
Do I have a point? No, I have two:
- Even in a park where balls hit in the air don’t always carry, hitting grounders is a lousy strategy.
- It’s funny (you may prefer some other word) that Plantier, who couldn’t hit a grounder to save his life, is coaching guys that do it more than anyone else.
Is this Plantier’s fault? I don’t know, but it’s happening on his watch, which… well, it sucks for him because his performance is judged by their performance. And when you’ve been shut out 11 times in your first 65 games after being blanked 9 times the entire season before, someone is bound to realize that the current plan of attack isn’t working and maybe it’s time for a new approach that preferably involves more line drives.