Sometimes things can get a little fuzzy after an afternoon at the pub. Here’s a friendly reminder of what you may have missed while you were drinking.

The Padres (24-40) scored fewer runs than the Kansas City Royals (28-34), 8-3, yesterday at Petco Park.

Dinelson Lamet (2-2, 8.50) gave up seven runs on six hits and a walk while striking out six in five innings. Mike Moustakas hit two home runs: a two-run shot in the first and a leadoff solo shot in the ninth inning. Alex Gordon hit a solo home run in the fourth inning. Eric Hosmer hit a two-run home run in the fifth inning. On the plus side, Phil Maton made his Major League debut, going 1-2-3 in the eighth inning while ringing up Lorenzo Cain for his first career strikeout.

Jake Junis (2-0, 4.67) surrendered three runs on six hits and a walk with six strikeouts in seven innings. All three Padres’ runs came via solo home runs. Cory Spangenberg hit one in the fourth inning and led off the seventh inning with another. Jose Pirela led off the eighth inning with the third.

The Cincinnati Reds (29-33) come to Petco Park for three games starting tonight at 7:10pm PDT. Luis Perdomo (0-3, 5.30) starts the first game tonight against Bronson Arroyo (3-4, 6.25).
Read More…

Sometimes things can get a little fuzzy after an afternoon at the pub. Here’s a friendly reminder of what you may have missed while you were drinking.

The Padres (24-39) scored fewer runs than the Kansas City Royals (27-34) at Petco Park yesterday, 12-6.

Miguel Diaz (1-1, 6.92) started his first game in the Major Leagues and allowed no runs on one hit and three walks with one strikeout in two innings. Craig Stammen, Jose Torres, and Kirby Yates combined to allow three runs in relief. Then Brad Hand and Jose Valdez came into pitch and allowed nine runs (eight earned) in one and two-thirds innings, with the final blow coming on a grand slam home run by Lorenzo Cain in the eighth inning.

Ian Kennedy (0-6, 5.40) pitched six innings, giving up four runs on six hits and two walks while striking out five. Jose Pirela led off the first inning with a solo home run. In the fifth inning, Pirela hit a two-run double and Yangervis Solarte hit a run scoring single. Solarte singled again in the seventh inning to drive in Pirela. Erick Aybar hit an RBI single in the eighth inning.

This afternoon’s series finale will have Dinelson Lamet (2-1, 6.92) going up against Jake Junis (1-0, 5.23) starting at 1:40pm PDT.
Read More…

Sometimes things can get a little fuzzy after an evening at the pub. Here’s a friendly reminder of what you may have missed while you were drinking.

The Padres (24-38) scored more runs than the Kansas City Royals (26-34), 6-3, at Petco Park last night in the first of three games.

Jhoulys Chacin (5-5, 5.35) gave up two runs on three hits and two walks in seven innings while striking out six. Salvador Perez hit a two-run home run in the fifth inning. In the ninth inning, Mike Moustakas‘ sacrifice fly scored Lorenzo Cain.

Eric Skoglund (1-1, 5.59) lasted just one and a third innings, giving up two runs on seven hits and two walks with one strikeout. In the first inning, Wil Myers scored on Austin Hedges‘ RBI single. Chacin hit a double in the second inning, driving in Erick Aybar. Matt Szczur hit a pinch-hit solo home run in the seventh inning. In the eighth inning, a double by Franchy Cordero drove in Aybar and Szczur, and Yangervis Solarte popup was misplayed for a single, scoring Cordero.

This afternoon, Miguel Diaz (1-1, 7.50) gets his first Major League start against former Padre Ian Kennedy (0-6, 5.33). The game will be broadcast on Fox Sports 1 starting at 1:10pm PDT.
Read More…

Sometimes the Hangover hits you in the first inning.

Ryan Schimpf isn’t playing in tonight’s Padres game, not because he had a night off, or an injury, or because he got abducted by baseball-obsessed aliens. Schimpf isn’t playing tonight because the Padres willingly opted to send him to Triple-A El Paso.

Schimpf was hardly a known quantity after he left the Toronto Blue Jays organization after 2015, a career minor leaguer with good numbers but worse scouting reports, just holding onto big-league dreams. The Padres took a chance on him and, by the standards of these things, struck gold. A year and a half later, Schimpf’s shtick is well-documented.

The man hits the ball in the air with frightening frequency, he walks a lot, he strikes out a lot more, and he runs into his share of dingers. Schimpf’s slashing just .158/.284/.424 on the year, good for a 90 wRC+. Here’s the thing, though: that’s fourth on the Padres among qualified hitters, better than Manuel Margot, Austin Hedges, Yangervis Solarte, Erick Aybar, and Cory Spangenberg.

Throw in last year’s awesome production (a 129 wRC+ in 330 plate appearances) and Schimpf has an overall 115 wRC+. That’s five points better than Wil Myers‘ career mark. Say what you want about the nuances of advanced statistics, Schimpf’s been a good offensive player over his time in the majors. Schimpf rates even better by Baseball Prospectus’ measure of offense, True Average. At .276, he’s 14th out of 33 in the league among third baseman with at least 100 PAs this year, just two points behind fellow air-ball artist Joey Gallo. Schimpf’s career .301 TAv is 20 whole points better than Myers’.

Read More…

It’s a little odd at this point, but every day or two I see someone in the Padres corner of the internet wondering if the Padres will, at some point this year, send Manuel Margot down to the minor leagues to manipulate his service-time clock. If Margot, who’s currently injured but inching closer to a return, spends a few weeks in the minors (rehab time not included), the Padres will gain an extra year of pre-free agency control over him. They’d have him through 2023 rather than 2022.

From purely a cold, hard business perspective, it makes sense. From every other perspective, it doesn’t.

First of all, it’s unclear that even the Padres would want to do this. They had the absolute perfect opportunity to do it, right out of spring training. Margot had a rough spring offensively, he was dealing with a couple of nagging injuries, and he was still just 21 and coming off a good but unspectacular year in Triple-A El Paso. Nobody would have questioned it, at least not too hard, if the Padres decided to send Margot back to El Paso for a few weeks, to get fully healthy and be in the best position to succeed against major-league pitching. In fact, it arguably would have been the smartest thing to do, and that’s before you even consider service time.

But they didn’t. They started Margot in the majors, signalling right then that a year of extra control more than a half decade away wasn’t a priority. In all likelihood, the Padres figured one of two things would happen: 1) that Margot would perform well, leading to a future contract extension that would make that extra year of control moot. (Sure, it’d be a little bit more expensive of an extension, without 2023 as an arbitration-eligible bargaining chip, but what’s a few million bucks to a big-league team?) Or 2) that Margot wouldn’t perform well, and that an extra year of control in his late-20s wouldn’t end up being something that anybody was all that concerned about losing.

Read More…

Sometimes things can get a little fuzzy after an afternoon at the pub. Here’s a friendly reminder of what you may have missed while you were drinking.

The Padres (23-38) scored fewer runs than the Arizona Diamondbacks (37-25) yesterday at Chase Field, 15-3, getting swept by the Diamondbacks in their three game series.

Clayton Richard (4-7, 4.54) gave up four runs on six hits and a walk with five strikeouts in five innings. The Padres bullpen was the real loser, as Kevin Quackenbush, Kirby Yates, and Brandon Maurer combined to give up eleven runs in two innings (Maurer didn’t record an out). Read the box score below to get the details because I just don’t have the strength. Erick Aybar ended up pitching (again) and got three outs in the eighth inning.

Patrick Corbin (5-6, 5.38) pitched five and two-thirds innings, surrendering three runs on eight hits and three walks while striking out eight. In the first inning, Austin Hedges‘ bases loaded single scored Yangervis Solarte and Wil Myers. Hunter Renfroe hit an RBI double in the third, driving in Myers.

The Padres come back to Petco Park for three interleague games against the Kansas City Royals (26-32) starting tonight at 7:10pm PDT. Jhoulys Chacin (4-5, 5.65) gets the start tonight versus Eric Skoglund (1-1, 4.32).
Read More…

what's brewing on the padres farm system

MLB Farm, one of Daren Willman’s sites, has some pretty cool features. One of its coolest ones is the cumulative org stats page, which allows one to easily compare statistics from players across an entire farm system. Here are some eye-catching early stats—both good and bad—from the first couple months of 2017.

(stats through Tuesday’s games)

Position Players

Michael Gettys: 34.4 percent strikeout percentage

Gettys has been on a role of late, popping home runs with good regularity and padding his slash line. Then again, he’s still striking out in bunches. On Monday and Tuesday of this week alone, he went 0-for-8 with six strikeouts and a walk. Even in his last 10 games, over which he’s crushed four home runs and hit .351, Gettys has struck out 16 times, no better than his seasonal rate. He’s just 21, but he’s also getting his second look at the hitter-friendly Cal League, and he’s actually striking out more frequently (by six percentage points) this year than he did last year at Lake Elsinore. Gettys is full of exciting tools, but the main sticking point with him will continue to be whether or not he can make enough contact to let those tools play at the big-league level.

Read More…

Sometimes things can get a little fuzzy after an evening at the pub. Here’s a friendly reminder of what you may have missed while you were drinking.

The Padres (23-37) scored fewer runs than the Arizona Diamondbacks (36-25), 7-4, last night at Chase Field.

Luis Perdomo (0-3, 5.47) pitched four innings, giving up five runs on five hits and four walks with one strikeout. In the third inning, a three-run home run by Jake Lamb and a two-run home run by Brandon Drury was all the Diamondbacks would need. But David Peralta scored on a wild pitch to Lamb and Lamb’s single drove in Paul Goldschmidt in the seventh inning.

Zack Greinke (8-3, 3.20) surrendered three runs on seven hit and a walk in five innings while striking out eight. Yangervis Solarte hit a solo home run in the first inning. Franchy Cordero tripled and scored on Solarte’s single in the third inning. Cordero’s single drove in Jose Pirela in the fifth inning. Pirela’s eight inning single drove in Allen Cordoba.

The series finale this afternoon at 12:40pm PDT will pit Clayton Richard (4-6, 4.36) against Patrick Corbin (4-6, 5.43).
Read More…

Tanking ain’t easy.

Last season, the Padres finished 68-94, tied for the 2nd worst record in baseball with the Cincinnati Reds and Tampa Bay Rays, a half-game worse than the 68-93 Atlanta Braves. The Twins, having won only 59 games, tanked much harder than everyone else and will pick first in the 2017 MLB draft in 5 days. The Reds, having been very bad for multiple years in a row, won the tiebreaker over the Padres and Rays, and will pick 2nd. The Padres, having been bad but not quite terrible in 2015, won the tiebreaker over the Rays but not the Reds, and will pick 3rd. The Braves, who would be picking 3rd if they had played a full 162 game season and lost the game that was washed out, pick 5th.

With that, you could say that the Padres are a bit lucky to be picking 3rd, and that’s true, but they earned their spot by tanking really hard in the last month of the season, including losing their last 4 games. If they had won any of their last 3 games against 6th pick Arizona, they’d be picking 7th, behind both the Diamondbacks and the Oakland A’s. However, they’re either also a bit unlucky or just didn’t quite tank hard enough. If they’d lost just one more game throughout the year, they’d be picking 2nd, and with the Twins leaning against selecting high school flamethrower and consensus top talent Hunter Greene with the 1st overall pick, picking 2nd would have a huge advantage in this draft.

The public draft boards are all out, and there is a consensus top 5 that goes something like this:

  1. Hunter Greene RHP (HS)
  2. Kyle Wright RHP (C)
  3. Brendan McKay LHP/1B (C)
  4. MacKenzie Gore LHP (HS)
  5. Royce Lewis SS/CF (HS)

Read More…

Over his first two starts with the Padres, Dinelson Lamet did a lot of things well. One of them was getting ahead of hitters early, which put him in good situations and eventually allowed him to finish off at-bats with overpowering stuff.

No matter a pitcher’s velocity or stuff, it’s important to get ahead in the count. Hitters simply aren’t nearly as dangerous when the count isn’t in their favor, yet they can square up any velocity ahead 2-0. After a 1-0 count, for instance, major-league hitters are OPS-ing .838 this year. When it starts 0-1, on the other hand, they’ve got a paltry OPS of .620. That’s 200-plus OPS points just in getting strike one over. There’s an even bigger gap—some 332 OPS points—between 2-1 and 1-2, in part because hitters can only strike out when there are two strikes.

Anyway, it’s really important for a pitcher to get ahead, which isn’t exactly breaking news.

Here’s a comparison of the percentage of times Lamet was ahead in the count after the third pitch of an at-bat in each of his first three starts (I counted at-bats that ended on the third pitch if the count was a 0-2 or 2-0):

5/25 vs. Mets: 71 percent
5/30 vs. Cubs: 55 percent
6/6 vs. D’backs: 24 percent

Read More…