Strong Coffee and Prospect Lists

Yesterday released their 2014 Prospect Watch top 100 and four Padres found themselves on the list. After initially skimming through the compilation of minor league talent I counted only 3 Padres – Austin Hedges (24), Max Fried (43), and Matt Wisler (78). But this morning, after a strong cup of black coffee and the renewal of a lukewarm shower, I realized that I had completely bypassed MLB’s 87th ranked prospect . . . any guesses?

That’s right #87 is Casey Kelly. You know your stuff. You must drink good coffee.

I wouldn’t have guessed Casey Kelly. Or maybe I would have. I’m unsure of prospect lists and uneasy about pitchers who’ve undergone the knife. I think I would have chosen Rymer Liriano. I prefer position players who’ve undergone the knife.

Rymer Liriano could realistically find himself back in the mix of prospect lists heading into 2015 if when he rebounds from last winter’s TJ surgery. At that point maybe Liriano will be in the discussion for an outfield spot in San Diego but until then all we can do is hope that Carlos Quentin starts 121 games in a row and gets dealt to an American League contender dream.

Prospect lists are fun, but to butcher/bastardize an old African proverb, they don’t put eggs in the basket. Just like every year, 2014 will be an important one for the development of young arms and bats, and as fans it is our job to patiently wait and then espouse what the experts tell us to think – or there’s the 15 and a short trip to Lake Elsinore.

Who makes the biggest developmental leap in 2014?


I contribute to Padres Public on Thursday mornings and when I’m feeling particularly outraged by the location of statues around Petco Park. I can also be found on twitter at @AvengingJM. The dusty archives of AJM are located at

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  • Nathan Veale has gotten better with the addition of Jim Callis, formerly of Baseball America, but it’s still my least trusted mainstream prospect site. It’s biggest advantage is that it’s free.

    • Sac Bunt Melvin

      Yeah it’s hard for me to know what to think now that Callis was there. Their previous MO was basically “praise everybody.” Even with Callis they will still need to show me they’re not just in it for the pageviews.

    • I initially figured the information on players came from the Scouting Bureau which was going to be the angle for the piece. Then I saw it was Callis and Mayo ( who I don’t know but he at least seems experienced and connected) so I opted for a ” Look! Lists! It’s January” sort of piece.

  • Billy Lybarger

    I do like seeing Hedges in a top 25 list. With his current projection and continued development, he should be top 10 next year.